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Rays are too good

Imagine that comment: The Tampa Bay Rays are too good.
Well, finally, as get closer to late September, that is the case. The Rays never wilted.
You can pray and hope all you want. They are not going down.
I was terribly impressed with these guys when they came to Boston a week ago. That was when they were supposed to wilt. And the opportunities were there, facing Jonathan Papelbon while one inning away from losing their seventh time in eight games.
Instead, they pounded Papelbon. The next night they outlasted Josh Beckett – you can’t beat Beckett, you can only hope to outlast — and won in 14 innings.
Don’t discount the Rays in the playoffs either. While they don’t have the one-two punch the Red Sox obviously have at the top of their rotation, they are playing better than your Red Sox are when it really counts.
Here are five keys to the Rays success of late:
1. Manager Joe Maddon.
I only got to really know him this past week at Fenway. I hate to admit this, but I love the guy. His positive demeanor, even when it seemed dark recently, has permeated everywhere in the Rays club house. Unlike Terry Francona, who looks like he is on the verge of a nervous breakdown (Boston can do that to you), Maddon is unwavering. A big reason the Rays have never flustered is because their manager hasn’t.
2. Carlos Pena.
Hooray for Haverhill’s semi-native son (He was born in the Dominican Republic). He has taken over the role as power hitter in the clutch. While he still strikes out too much (he’s got a career high 153, second highest in baseball), his walks are nearly at an all-time high. He has accepted the role as David Oritz on the Rays. It is a great thing to see this 30-year-old finally get his due as a team player on a very good team.
3. Youth.
They don’t know any better. They really don’t. Go through their clubhouse and shake your head. Where’s the big-time talent? Other than Pena right now and Evan Longoria, it is a bunch of dirt-dogs (or carpet-dogs). Pena is the only starter who has reached 30. The comparison to the 1967 Red Sox is legitimate, sans Yaz’s MVP performance.
4. Pitching.
Where do you want me to go: starters, middle relief, end of the bullpen? Everywhere you go there is a guy who is doing their job. True, there is no real ace on this team — Scott Kazmir hasn’t been able to grab it yet — but everybody is good. From Matt Garza, to Edwin Jackson, to Andy Sonnanstine, to Troy Percival, it seems all have done their job. Heck, the move by Maddon in spring training, moving J.P. Howell from the rotation to the bullpen, might be the best decision made by a manager in the American League in 2008.
5. Defense.
Defense? Really? Yes, really. The Jays make plays. While they may not be loaded with Gold Glovers, they have players, like shortstop Jason Bartlett (14 errors) who over the last month has been involved in several great plays to save a game. Pena’s defense has also improved (only 2 errors) and Longoria is a potential Gold Glove third baseman.
Bottom line: The Rays are for real. And right now they are every bit of a threat to win the AL pennant as your Red Sox. As for the division, kiss it good-bye Sox fans. The Rays are in and the Red Sox are bound for Anaheim.

  • Marcel

    Upton isn’t real big-time talent? 42 SB (albeit at a 73% success rate), 91 BB (good for 4th in the AL), and 34 doubles and 8 homeruns despite playing most of the season with a tear in the labrum of his left shoulder. He even managed to cut back his K rate this year. I’d call that big talent.

    And I really hope you just weren’t counting pitchers when you were talking about talent. Because Kazmir is one of the most talented pitchers in the game. He hasn’t put it all together on a consistent basis yet, but he’s also only 24 years old. If I was building a team and I had to pick one pitcher from the AL to build my rotation around, it would be a very tough call between Kazmir and Lester.

  • http://blogs.eagletribune.com/sports/ Bill Burt

    Upton is not a big-time talent just yet. Also, remember, there are attitudinal issues that have popped up. I agree. I like him a lot. He’s very good in the field, too.
    As for Kazmir, I would take Lester over him. He is a great talent but he has panned out as a great pitcher just yet. His excuse the past two seasons was the team stunk. That is not on an excuse this season. He should be winning 20 games. He is averaging a disappointing 5 2/3 innings per start. He is 11-7 and never won more than 13 games. Again, I like him a lot. But Lester has passed him right now as a better pitcher.

  • Marcel

    I think that we have a disconnect on what you mean when you say talent. Manny has attitude issues too, but no one would ever question his talent. If you want to say that the Rays only have two superstar-level players right now, that wording would make more sense to me. Just because Upton hasn’t yet lived up to his potential doesn’t diminish his talent.

    As for Kazmir, I really think he’s pitching hurt. Through the end of June he was averaging just over 6 innings per start with a 3:1 K:BB rate. From the beginning of July to now he’s only averaging 5 1/3 innings per start and averaging fewer than 2 strikeouts per walk. Another thing to take into consideration is that he hasn’t been throwing the slider very much this year because he says that he lost the feel for it which is causing him to run into a lot of very long at-bats where hitters are just fouling fastballs off. I agree with you that Lester is the better pitcher right now. But Kazmir still, imo, has the higher upside. How much of that upside he can tap into, I think, is really going to be dependant on how healthy he can remain.

    Also, don’t be one of those guys that measures a pitcher’s success by his win total. Please. I like reading your blog (even though you never did answer my question of homefield advantage in basketball and football), but it’s hard to take you seriously if you say things like that. The majority of the factors that go into earning a win are beyond the pitchers control. Kazmir could certainly help himself out by going deeper into games, I won’t argue that. But it’s not his fault when the offense doesn’t score him runs early in the game or when the bullpen blows his lead either.

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